Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a tight contest for second place in Goiás's Senate race behind frontrunner Gracinha Caiado, with Gustavo Gayer holding the strongest position among a cluster including Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso, and Dr. Zacharias Calil. High undecided shares near 25% and voter flexibility above 40% keep probabilities compressed, as consolidated first-and-second vote intentions reveal minimal separation among mid-tier contenders. Trader pricing aligns with this fragmentation, where shifts could emerge from gubernatorial alliances, campaign visibility in the final weeks before October 4, or turnout patterns among swing blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 48%
Vanderlan Cardoso 17.8%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 12.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 12%
$27,023 Vol.
$27,023 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
48%
Vanderlan Cardoso
18%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
13%
Gustavo Mendanha
18%
Gracinha Caiado
10%
Iure Castro
4%
Ernesto Roller
4%
Cintia Dias
1%
Guilherme Darques
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 48%
Vanderlan Cardoso 17.8%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 12.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 12%
$27,023 Vol.
$27,023 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$22,226 Vol.
48%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$740 Vol.
18%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$315 Vol.
13%
Gustavo Mendanha
$320 Vol.
18%
Gracinha Caiado
$2,128 Vol.
10%
Iure Castro
$192 Vol.
4%
Ernesto Roller
$212 Vol.
4%
Cintia Dias
$310 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Darques
$191 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$189 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$199 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a tight contest for second place in Goiás's Senate race behind frontrunner Gracinha Caiado, with Gustavo Gayer holding the strongest position among a cluster including Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso, and Dr. Zacharias Calil. High undecided shares near 25% and voter flexibility above 40% keep probabilities compressed, as consolidated first-and-second vote intentions reveal minimal separation among mid-tier contenders. Trader pricing aligns with this fragmentation, where shifts could emerge from gubernatorial alliances, campaign visibility in the final weeks before October 4, or turnout patterns among swing blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$27,023End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a tight contest for second place in Goiás's Senate race behind frontrunner Gracinha Caiado, with Gustavo Gayer holding the strongest position among a cluster including Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso, and Dr. Zacharias Calil. High undecided shares near 25% and voter flexibility above 40% keep probabilities compressed, as consolidated first-and-second vote intentions reveal minimal separation among mid-tier contenders. Trader pricing aligns with this fragmentation, where shifts could emerge from gubernatorial alliances, campaign visibility in the final weeks before October 4, or turnout patterns among swing blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,023End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a tight contest for second place in Goiás's Senate race behind frontrunner Gracinha Caiado, with Gustavo Gayer holding the strongest position among a cluster including Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso, and Dr. Zacharias Calil. High undecided shares near 25% and voter flexibility above 40% keep probabilities compressed, as consolidated first-and-second vote intentions reveal minimal separation among mid-tier contenders. Trader pricing aligns with this fragmentation, where shifts could emerge from gubernatorial alliances, campaign visibility in the final weeks before October 4, or turnout patterns among swing blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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