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icon for Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place

Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place

Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place

Gracinha Caiado 74%

Gustavo Gayer 17%

Ernesto Roller 3.9%

Guilherme Darques 2.5%

Polymarket

$11,141 Vol.

Gracinha Caiado 74%

Gustavo Gayer 17%

Ernesto Roller 3.9%

Guilherme Darques 2.5%

Polymarket

$11,141 Vol.

icon for Gracinha Caiado

Gracinha Caiado

$8,660 Vol.

74%

icon for Gustavo Gayer

Gustavo Gayer

$1,043 Vol.

17%

icon for Ernesto Roller

Ernesto Roller

$130 Vol.

4%

icon for Guilherme Darques

Guilherme Darques

$134 Vol.

3%

icon for Cintia Dias

Cintia Dias

$130 Vol.

1%

icon for Dr. Zacharias Calil

Dr. Zacharias Calil

$130 Vol.

1%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$206 Vol.

1%

icon for Oséias Varão

Oséias Varão

$167 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iure Castro

Iure Castro

$137 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Mendanha

Gustavo Mendanha

$158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isaura Lemos

Isaura Lemos

$248 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado leads the Goiás Senate race for first place with consistent polling support of 20–41% across July and mid-August surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa. Her position reflects high name recognition as former first lady, União Brasil backing, and ties to the Caiado political network in a multi-candidate field for the two seats contested on October 4. Gustavo Gayer trails as the clearest alternative in several surveys, while the second seat remains more competitive among candidates including Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil. Recent campaign activity and stable survey margins have reinforced trader consensus around Caiado’s advantage without notable shifts in the past week.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,141
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado leads the Goiás Senate race for first place with consistent polling support of 20–41% across July and mid-August surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa. Her position reflects high name recognition as former first lady, União Brasil backing, and ties to the Caiado political network in a multi-candidate field for the two seats contested on October 4. Gustavo Gayer trails as the clearest alternative in several surveys, while the second seat remains more competitive among candidates including Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil. Recent campaign activity and stable survey margins have reinforced trader consensus around Caiado’s advantage without notable shifts in the past week.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,141
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gracinha Caiado" at 74%, followed by "Gustavo Gayer" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Gracinha Caiado" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gustavo Gayer" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.