Gracinha Caiado leads the Goiás Senate race for first place with consistent polling support of 20–41% across July and mid-August surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa. Her position reflects high name recognition as former first lady, União Brasil backing, and ties to the Caiado political network in a multi-candidate field for the two seats contested on October 4. Gustavo Gayer trails as the clearest alternative in several surveys, while the second seat remains more competitive among candidates including Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil. Recent campaign activity and stable survey margins have reinforced trader consensus around Caiado’s advantage without notable shifts in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGracinha Caiado 74%
Gustavo Gayer 17%
Ernesto Roller 3.9%
Guilherme Darques 2.5%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.

Gracinha Caiado
74%

Gustavo Gayer
17%

Ernesto Roller
4%

Guilherme Darques
3%

Cintia Dias
1%

Dr. Zacharias Calil
1%

Vanderlan Cardoso
1%

Oséias Varão
<1%

Iure Castro
<1%

Gustavo Mendanha
<1%

Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gracinha Caiado 74%
Gustavo Gayer 17%
Ernesto Roller 3.9%
Guilherme Darques 2.5%
$11,141 Vol.
$11,141 Vol.

Gracinha Caiado
74%

Gustavo Gayer
17%

Ernesto Roller
4%

Guilherme Darques
3%

Cintia Dias
1%

Dr. Zacharias Calil
1%

Vanderlan Cardoso
1%

Oséias Varão
<1%

Iure Castro
<1%

Gustavo Mendanha
<1%

Isaura Lemos
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado leads the Goiás Senate race for first place with consistent polling support of 20–41% across July and mid-August surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa. Her position reflects high name recognition as former first lady, União Brasil backing, and ties to the Caiado political network in a multi-candidate field for the two seats contested on October 4. Gustavo Gayer trails as the clearest alternative in several surveys, while the second seat remains more competitive among candidates including Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil. Recent campaign activity and stable survey margins have reinforced trader consensus around Caiado’s advantage without notable shifts in the past week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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