Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-August shows Helder Barbalho leading the Pará Senate race while Delegado Éder Mauro holds a clear second-place position ahead of Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and others. The two-vote system and vote fragmentation among center-left and smaller conservative candidates sustain this ordering in trader assessments. Éder Mauro’s established PL base, law-and-order profile, and alignment with national conservative networks provide a stable floor, while Marinho’s incumbency and regional ties keep him competitive but behind. Tight spreads among mid-tier names reflect uncertainty over final alliances, turnout in key municipalities, and late shifts in undecided voters. Further polling releases or candidate withdrawals before October could widen gaps by clarifying the second-vote consolidation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 52%
Celso Sabino 26%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Conti 4.7%
$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
52%
Celso Sabino
26%
Zequinha Marinho
22%
Conti
5%
Fernanda Lopes
4%
Edlaine Rodrigues
11%
Gizelle Freitas
3%
Breno Guimarães
3%
Chicão
2%
Helder
2%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 52%
Celso Sabino 26%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Conti 4.7%
$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$11,652 Vol.
52%
Celso Sabino
$149 Vol.
26%
Zequinha Marinho
$3,900 Vol.
22%
Conti
$234 Vol.
5%
Fernanda Lopes
$170 Vol.
4%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$146 Vol.
11%
Gizelle Freitas
$220 Vol.
3%
Breno Guimarães
$152 Vol.
3%
Chicão
$156 Vol.
2%
Helder
$987 Vol.
2%
Willem da Silva
$160 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-August shows Helder Barbalho leading the Pará Senate race while Delegado Éder Mauro holds a clear second-place position ahead of Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and others. The two-vote system and vote fragmentation among center-left and smaller conservative candidates sustain this ordering in trader assessments. Éder Mauro’s established PL base, law-and-order profile, and alignment with national conservative networks provide a stable floor, while Marinho’s incumbency and regional ties keep him competitive but behind. Tight spreads among mid-tier names reflect uncertainty over final alliances, turnout in key municipalities, and late shifts in undecided voters. Further polling releases or candidate withdrawals before October could widen gaps by clarifying the second-vote consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$17,926End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-August shows Helder Barbalho leading the Pará Senate race while Delegado Éder Mauro holds a clear second-place position ahead of Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and others. The two-vote system and vote fragmentation among center-left and smaller conservative candidates sustain this ordering in trader assessments. Éder Mauro’s established PL base, law-and-order profile, and alignment with national conservative networks provide a stable floor, while Marinho’s incumbency and regional ties keep him competitive but behind. Tight spreads among mid-tier names reflect uncertainty over final alliances, turnout in key municipalities, and late shifts in undecided voters. Further polling releases or candidate withdrawals before October could widen gaps by clarifying the second-vote consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,926End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-August shows Helder Barbalho leading the Pará Senate race while Delegado Éder Mauro holds a clear second-place position ahead of Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and others. The two-vote system and vote fragmentation among center-left and smaller conservative candidates sustain this ordering in trader assessments. Éder Mauro’s established PL base, law-and-order profile, and alignment with national conservative networks provide a stable floor, while Marinho’s incumbency and regional ties keep him competitive but behind. Tight spreads among mid-tier names reflect uncertainty over final alliances, turnout in key municipalities, and late shifts in undecided voters. Further polling releases or candidate withdrawals before October could widen gaps by clarifying the second-vote consolidation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions