Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats up for grabs on October 4, with high undecided shares and technical ties among top names in both first- and second-vote scenarios. André David (Republicanos) frequently leads or places near the top in August surveys, while Rogério Carvalho (PT, incumbent), André Moura (União Brasil), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT), and Alessandro Vieira (MDB, incumbent) cluster closely behind, often within margins of error. Official candidate registrations and coalition announcements in early August, including União-PSD-PT alignments, have shaped the field without producing decisive shifts. The dual-vote system, combined with dispersed name recognition and limited campaign momentum so far, sustains the competitive positioning for second place reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRogerio Carvalho 29%
André Moura 27%
Eduardo Amorim 18%
Delegado André David 14.9%
$17,892 Vol.
$17,892 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
29%
André Moura
27%
Eduardo Amorim
18%
Delegado André David
10%
Delegado Alessandro
14%
Rodrigo Valadares
8%
Edvaldo
1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 29%
André Moura 27%
Eduardo Amorim 18%
Delegado André David 14.9%
$17,892 Vol.
$17,892 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$5,190 Vol.
29%
André Moura
$2,587 Vol.
27%
Eduardo Amorim
$2,182 Vol.
18%
Delegado André David
$1,650 Vol.
10%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,230 Vol.
14%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,123 Vol.
8%
Edvaldo
$412 Vol.
1%
Coronel Rocha
$541 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$725 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats up for grabs on October 4, with high undecided shares and technical ties among top names in both first- and second-vote scenarios. André David (Republicanos) frequently leads or places near the top in August surveys, while Rogério Carvalho (PT, incumbent), André Moura (União Brasil), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT), and Alessandro Vieira (MDB, incumbent) cluster closely behind, often within margins of error. Official candidate registrations and coalition announcements in early August, including União-PSD-PT alignments, have shaped the field without producing decisive shifts. The dual-vote system, combined with dispersed name recognition and limited campaign momentum so far, sustains the competitive positioning for second place reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$17,892End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats up for grabs on October 4, with high undecided shares and technical ties among top names in both first- and second-vote scenarios. André David (Republicanos) frequently leads or places near the top in August surveys, while Rogério Carvalho (PT, incumbent), André Moura (União Brasil), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT), and Alessandro Vieira (MDB, incumbent) cluster closely behind, often within margins of error. Official candidate registrations and coalition announcements in early August, including União-PSD-PT alignments, have shaped the field without producing decisive shifts. The dual-vote system, combined with dispersed name recognition and limited campaign momentum so far, sustains the competitive positioning for second place reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,892End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats up for grabs on October 4, with high undecided shares and technical ties among top names in both first- and second-vote scenarios. André David (Republicanos) frequently leads or places near the top in August surveys, while Rogério Carvalho (PT, incumbent), André Moura (União Brasil), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT), and Alessandro Vieira (MDB, incumbent) cluster closely behind, often within margins of error. Official candidate registrations and coalition announcements in early August, including União-PSD-PT alignments, have shaped the field without producing decisive shifts. The dual-vote system, combined with dispersed name recognition and limited campaign momentum so far, sustains the competitive positioning for second place reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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