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Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

Styvenson Valentim 65%

Zenaide Maia 33.6%

Samanda de Lula <1%

Sandro Pimentel <1%

Polymarket

$13,796 Vol.

Styvenson Valentim 65%

Zenaide Maia 33.6%

Samanda de Lula <1%

Sandro Pimentel <1%

Polymarket

$13,796 Vol.

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$4,857 Vol.

65%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$3,260 Vol.

34%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$809 Vol.

6%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$720 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$598 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$452 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$386 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July and August 2026 has positioned incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for the top Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with consolidated first- and second-choice intentions often placing him in the mid-20s to high-30s percent range ahead of the field. Zenaide Maia (PSD), the other incumbent seeking reelection, trails but remains the strongest challenger at roughly one-third the implied probability. The official campaign period opened on August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, with multiple candidates including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) competing for the second seat but registering lower support in surveys. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns closely with the latest intention-to-vote data showing Valentim's lead holding steady.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,796
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July and August 2026 has positioned incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for the top Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with consolidated first- and second-choice intentions often placing him in the mid-20s to high-30s percent range ahead of the field. Zenaide Maia (PSD), the other incumbent seeking reelection, trails but remains the strongest challenger at roughly one-third the implied probability. The official campaign period opened on August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, with multiple candidates including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) competing for the second seat but registering lower support in surveys. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns closely with the latest intention-to-vote data showing Valentim's lead holding steady.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,796
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Styvenson Valentim" at 65%, followed by "Zenaide Maia" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Styvenson Valentim" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.