João Azevêdo (PSB), the former Paraíba governor who resigned in April 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls, including DataTrends (June) and Real Time Big Data (August), place him at 29–31% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23–25% and trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga. His established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and alignment with the state’s governing coalition underpin the market’s 85.5% consensus on his top finish. Lower probabilities for alternatives reflect limited recent momentum or narrower bases of support, with resolution hinging on official vote tallies for the two available seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoao Azevêdo 87%
Veneziano 6.2%
Nabor 4.7%
João Batista <1%
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
87%
Veneziano
6%
Nabor
5%
João Batista
1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 87%
Veneziano 6.2%
Nabor 4.7%
João Batista <1%
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$7,438 Vol.
87%
Veneziano
$1,001 Vol.
6%
Nabor
$460 Vol.
5%
João Batista
$304 Vol.
1%
Major Fábio
$290 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$383 Vol.
<1%
André Gadelha
$342 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$243 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$293 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$366 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former Paraíba governor who resigned in April 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls, including DataTrends (June) and Real Time Big Data (August), place him at 29–31% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23–25% and trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga. His established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and alignment with the state’s governing coalition underpin the market’s 85.5% consensus on his top finish. Lower probabilities for alternatives reflect limited recent momentum or narrower bases of support, with resolution hinging on official vote tallies for the two available seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,120End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former Paraíba governor who resigned in April 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls, including DataTrends (June) and Real Time Big Data (August), place him at 29–31% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23–25% and trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga. His established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and alignment with the state’s governing coalition underpin the market’s 85.5% consensus on his top finish. Lower probabilities for alternatives reflect limited recent momentum or narrower bases of support, with resolution hinging on official vote tallies for the two available seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,120End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB), the former Paraíba governor who resigned in April 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls, including DataTrends (June) and Real Time Big Data (August), place him at 29–31% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23–25% and trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga. His established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and alignment with the state’s governing coalition underpin the market’s 85.5% consensus on his top finish. Lower probabilities for alternatives reflect limited recent momentum or narrower bases of support, with resolution hinging on official vote tallies for the two available seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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