Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure area over southeast Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with intermittent rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 25–27°C. High humidity (often 80–94%) and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies limit temperature drops, consistent with IMD observations of 27.0°C on August 27 and official forecasts around 27°C for the 28th. Trader consensus clustering tightly at 24–26°C reflects uncertainty from variable convective timing and localized wind shifts, which could allow slightly more cooling if showers ease earlier than expected or produce clearer intervals. Historical August minima in the region typically range 24–27°C under similar monsoon conditions, underscoring the sensitivity to short-term atmospheric moisture and cloud dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Vol.
3%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$1,163 Vol.
1%
28°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure area over southeast Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with intermittent rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 25–27°C. High humidity (often 80–94%) and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies limit temperature drops, consistent with IMD observations of 27.0°C on August 27 and official forecasts around 27°C for the 28th. Trader consensus clustering tightly at 24–26°C reflects uncertainty from variable convective timing and localized wind shifts, which could allow slightly more cooling if showers ease earlier than expected or produce clearer intervals. Historical August minima in the region typically range 24–27°C under similar monsoon conditions, underscoring the sensitivity to short-term atmospheric moisture and cloud dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,601End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure area over southeast Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with intermittent rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 25–27°C. High humidity (often 80–94%) and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies limit temperature drops, consistent with IMD observations of 27.0°C on August 27 and official forecasts around 27°C for the 28th. Trader consensus clustering tightly at 24–26°C reflects uncertainty from variable convective timing and localized wind shifts, which could allow slightly more cooling if showers ease earlier than expected or produce clearer intervals. Historical August minima in the region typically range 24–27°C under similar monsoon conditions, underscoring the sensitivity to short-term atmospheric moisture and cloud dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,601End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure area over southeast Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with intermittent rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 25–27°C. High humidity (often 80–94%) and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies limit temperature drops, consistent with IMD observations of 27.0°C on August 27 and official forecasts around 27°C for the 28th. Trader consensus clustering tightly at 24–26°C reflects uncertainty from variable convective timing and localized wind shifts, which could allow slightly more cooling if showers ease earlier than expected or produce clearer intervals. Historical August minima in the region typically range 24–27°C under similar monsoon conditions, underscoring the sensitivity to short-term atmospheric moisture and cloud dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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