**Forecast models and recent observations point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions.** High dew points near 75°F from Gulf moisture sharply limit radiative cooling, as temperatures rarely fall far below the dew point under humid regimes. Mostly clear skies and light winds overnight would allow modest cooling, while any increased cloud cover or showers would trap heat and keep the minimum higher. Historical climatology shows an average low of 75.5°F for the date, with recent days featuring highs in the mid-90s and overnight readings in the upper 70s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 72–83°F range reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in the final forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 29?
78-79°F 53%
86°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 37%
67°F or below 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
31%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
43%
78-79°F 53%
86°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 37%
67°F or below 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
37%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$19 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observations point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions.** High dew points near 75°F from Gulf moisture sharply limit radiative cooling, as temperatures rarely fall far below the dew point under humid regimes. Mostly clear skies and light winds overnight would allow modest cooling, while any increased cloud cover or showers would trap heat and keep the minimum higher. Historical climatology shows an average low of 75.5°F for the date, with recent days featuring highs in the mid-90s and overnight readings in the upper 70s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 72–83°F range reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in the final forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$39End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observations point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions.** High dew points near 75°F from Gulf moisture sharply limit radiative cooling, as temperatures rarely fall far below the dew point under humid regimes. Mostly clear skies and light winds overnight would allow modest cooling, while any increased cloud cover or showers would trap heat and keep the minimum higher. Historical climatology shows an average low of 75.5°F for the date, with recent days featuring highs in the mid-90s and overnight readings in the upper 70s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 72–83°F range reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in the final forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and recent observations point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions.** High dew points near 75°F from Gulf moisture sharply limit radiative cooling, as temperatures rarely fall far below the dew point under humid regimes. Mostly clear skies and light winds overnight would allow modest cooling, while any increased cloud cover or showers would trap heat and keep the minimum higher. Historical climatology shows an average low of 75.5°F for the date, with recent days featuring highs in the mid-90s and overnight readings in the upper 70s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 72–83°F range reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in the final forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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