Recent forecast guidance from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, places Kuala Lumpur's August 30 daytime maximum near 33–34°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Typical Southwest Monsoon conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover—introduce uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier precipitation likely capping temperatures at the lower end. El Niño-enhanced warmth has already pushed August readings 1–2°C above the long-term 28–32°C climatological baseline, while steering patterns favor modest southwesterly flow that limits extreme outliers. Updated model consensus ahead of the weekend will refine whether modest clearing allows a brief 34°C spike or persistent moisture holds the high at 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 30?
33°C 46%
34°C 37%
35°C 8%
31°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
46%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 37%
35°C 8%
31°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
46%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, places Kuala Lumpur's August 30 daytime maximum near 33–34°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Typical Southwest Monsoon conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover—introduce uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier precipitation likely capping temperatures at the lower end. El Niño-enhanced warmth has already pushed August readings 1–2°C above the long-term 28–32°C climatological baseline, while steering patterns favor modest southwesterly flow that limits extreme outliers. Updated model consensus ahead of the weekend will refine whether modest clearing allows a brief 34°C spike or persistent moisture holds the high at 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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