Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high in Munich of 28–29°C on August 28, with afternoon thunderstorms and scattered showers likely to limit further warming after midday. Morning conditions start partly cloudy and mild near 18–20°C, allowing modest heating under light southwesterly flow before instability triggers convection around 14–16 UTC. This timing introduces uncertainty in the precise peak, as earlier or stronger storms could cap temperatures closer to 27–28°C while delayed activity might permit brief spikes near 30°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because official guidance shows modest spread across ensembles, with above-average warmth relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 23°C tempered by the expected precipitation.