Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$129 Vol.
2%
30°C
$46 Vol.
5%
31°C
$19 Vol.
8%
32°C
$26 Vol.
21%
33°C
$110 Vol.
26%
34°C
$29 Vol.
27%
35°C
$36 Vol.
17%
36°C
$40 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$775End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$775End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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