Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northerly airflow will bring cooler maritime air and scattered showers to Istanbul on August 29, capping daytime highs near 25–27 °C after recent 30 °C readings. This shift stems from a passing frontal system that reduces solar heating through increased cloud cover and enhances evaporative cooling, with Met Office and regional guidance converging on a 25 °C peak while some runs allow brief 27 °C spikes if showers arrive later. Historical late-August averages hover around 28 °C, so the current setup reflects a measurable departure driven by synoptic changes; resolution hinges on precise shower timing and local station measurements, leaving room for 1–2 °C variance among official reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
25°C 37%
24°C 32%
23°C 19%
29°C or higher 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
19%
24°C
32%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
16%
25°C 37%
24°C 32%
23°C 19%
29°C or higher 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
19%
24°C
32%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northerly airflow will bring cooler maritime air and scattered showers to Istanbul on August 29, capping daytime highs near 25–27 °C after recent 30 °C readings. This shift stems from a passing frontal system that reduces solar heating through increased cloud cover and enhances evaporative cooling, with Met Office and regional guidance converging on a 25 °C peak while some runs allow brief 27 °C spikes if showers arrive later. Historical late-August averages hover around 28 °C, so the current setup reflects a measurable departure driven by synoptic changes; resolution hinges on precise shower timing and local station measurements, leaving room for 1–2 °C variance among official reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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