Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including KMA-aligned outlooks, indicate a mostly cloudy day with light westerly winds and scattered drizzle potential over Incheon and Seoul, supporting a daytime high near 29–30 °C on August 27. High humidity near 80 % and persistent cloud cover are limiting diurnal heating compared with recent hotter conditions earlier in the week, while seasonal late-August patterns show typical maxima declining from midsummer peaks. Trader consensus, with 30 °C at 48.5 % implied probability followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C, reflects this narrow forecast range and low odds of significant deviation absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
30°C 50%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
$12,226 Vol.
$12,226 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
50%
31°C
22%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 50%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
$12,226 Vol.
$12,226 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
50%
31°C
22%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including KMA-aligned outlooks, indicate a mostly cloudy day with light westerly winds and scattered drizzle potential over Incheon and Seoul, supporting a daytime high near 29–30 °C on August 27. High humidity near 80 % and persistent cloud cover are limiting diurnal heating compared with recent hotter conditions earlier in the week, while seasonal late-August patterns show typical maxima declining from midsummer peaks. Trader consensus, with 30 °C at 48.5 % implied probability followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C, reflects this narrow forecast range and low odds of significant deviation absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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