Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on August 27 reflects official observations and forecasts from MetService and airport stations confirming a daytime peak at that level amid mild winter conditions. Northerly flow advected warmer air, with hourly readings climbing from morning lows near 10–12°C to a maximum of 14°C before cooling under increasing cloud and showers. This aligns with climatological August averages around 13–14°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover. A revision in the official maximum from the primary Wellington station could shift resolution only if post-analysis adjusts the peak by a full degree, though current data and late-day readings near 13°C make that outcome unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$103,797 Vol.
$103,797 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$103,797 Vol.
$103,797 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on August 27 reflects official observations and forecasts from MetService and airport stations confirming a daytime peak at that level amid mild winter conditions. Northerly flow advected warmer air, with hourly readings climbing from morning lows near 10–12°C to a maximum of 14°C before cooling under increasing cloud and showers. This aligns with climatological August averages around 13–14°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover. A revision in the official maximum from the primary Wellington station could shift resolution only if post-analysis adjusts the peak by a full degree, though current data and late-day readings near 13°C make that outcome unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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