Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for August 28, 2026 indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the eastern and central U.S., driven by a slow-moving cold front interacting with high atmospheric moisture and instability. Precipitation probabilities exceed 60-80% in parts of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast, with lower chances (under 30%) across the interior West and Southwest. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized heavy rain potential where convection organizes, while western high-pressure ridging suppresses activity. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings through the day will provide the next refinements for location-specific outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 28?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
47%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
73%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
49%
Miami, FL
54%
Seattle, WA
45%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
75%
San Francisco, CA
24%
$37 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
47%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
73%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
49%
Miami, FL
54%
Seattle, WA
45%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
75%
San Francisco, CA
24%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for August 28, 2026 indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the eastern and central U.S., driven by a slow-moving cold front interacting with high atmospheric moisture and instability. Precipitation probabilities exceed 60-80% in parts of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast, with lower chances (under 30%) across the interior West and Southwest. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized heavy rain potential where convection organizes, while western high-pressure ridging suppresses activity. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings through the day will provide the next refinements for location-specific outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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