Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Multiple sources converge on a 31–32°C maximum under partly cloudy to overcast skies with precipitation probabilities around 40–80%, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, while model variations in rainfall timing and wind strength introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
31°C 52%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
29°C 3%
NEW
$20,917 Vol.
NEW
$20,917 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
52%
32°C
28%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
29°C 3%
NEW
$20,917 Vol.
NEW
$20,917 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$184 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,939 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,921 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5,831 Vol.
17%
31°C
$2,977 Vol.
52%
32°C
$4,159 Vol.
28%
33°C
$1,888 Vol.
3%
34°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Multiple sources converge on a 31–32°C maximum under partly cloudy to overcast skies with precipitation probabilities around 40–80%, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, while model variations in rainfall timing and wind strength introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,917End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Multiple sources converge on a 31–32°C maximum under partly cloudy to overcast skies with precipitation probabilities around 40–80%, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, while model variations in rainfall timing and wind strength introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,917End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Multiple sources converge on a 31–32°C maximum under partly cloudy to overcast skies with precipitation probabilities around 40–80%, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, while model variations in rainfall timing and wind strength introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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