Forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and possible scattered showers that limit further warming. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Real-time observations midday have approached but not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.9% market-implied odds. Only an unanticipated surge in convective cooling or a sharp revision in official station readings could shift the outcome, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$58,562 Vol.
$58,562 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$58,562 Vol.
$58,562 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
26°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,127 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,064 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,714 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$13,610 Vol.
100%
33°C
$8,797 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and possible scattered showers that limit further warming. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Real-time observations midday have approached but not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.9% market-implied odds. Only an unanticipated surge in convective cooling or a sharp revision in official station readings could shift the outcome, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$58,562End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and possible scattered showers that limit further warming. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Real-time observations midday have approached but not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.9% market-implied odds. Only an unanticipated surge in convective cooling or a sharp revision in official station readings could shift the outcome, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,562End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and possible scattered showers that limit further warming. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical highs typically reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Real-time observations midday have approached but not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.9% market-implied odds. Only an unanticipated surge in convective cooling or a sharp revision in official station readings could shift the outcome, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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