Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 will reach 28°C, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with northeast winds, high dew points near 26–27°C, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and moisture typically hold lows in the upper 20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 28°C incorporates these verified observations and short-range model runs showing little deviation. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 27°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts improbable before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 98%
27°C 2.2%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,816 Vol.
$19,816 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
27°C 2.2%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,816 Vol.
$19,816 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$856 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,752 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4,322 Vol.
98%
29°C
$7,952 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 will reach 28°C, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with northeast winds, high dew points near 26–27°C, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and moisture typically hold lows in the upper 20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 28°C incorporates these verified observations and short-range model runs showing little deviation. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 27°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,816End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 will reach 28°C, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with northeast winds, high dew points near 26–27°C, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and moisture typically hold lows in the upper 20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 28°C incorporates these verified observations and short-range model runs showing little deviation. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 27°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,816End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 will reach 28°C, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with northeast winds, high dew points near 26–27°C, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and moisture typically hold lows in the upper 20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 28°C incorporates these verified observations and short-range model runs showing little deviation. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecast frontal passage could allow brief additional cooling toward 27°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts improbable before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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