Persistent hot summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity, are driving model consensus for a maximum temperature of 37–40 °C in Jeddah on August 29. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional numerical guidance show daily highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of 36–38 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 39 °C or higher (43.5 %) and 38 °C (32 %). Recent observations confirm an ongoing heat spell with no significant cooling advection or cloud cover expected through the weekend, while minor model spread around peak intensity keeps lower bins (37 °C and below) at combined ~24 %. Updated runs closer to the date will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 39 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 29?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 29?
39°C or higher 44%
38°C 33%
37°C 17%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
17%
38°C
33%
39°C or higher
44%
39°C or higher 44%
38°C 33%
37°C 17%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$19 Vol.
4%
36°C
$0 Vol.
7%
37°C
$20 Vol.
17%
38°C
$99 Vol.
33%
39°C or higher
$260 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity, are driving model consensus for a maximum temperature of 37–40 °C in Jeddah on August 29. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional numerical guidance show daily highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of 36–38 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 39 °C or higher (43.5 %) and 38 °C (32 %). Recent observations confirm an ongoing heat spell with no significant cooling advection or cloud cover expected through the weekend, while minor model spread around peak intensity keeps lower bins (37 °C and below) at combined ~24 %. Updated runs closer to the date will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 39 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,803End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity, are driving model consensus for a maximum temperature of 37–40 °C in Jeddah on August 29. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional numerical guidance show daily highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of 36–38 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 39 °C or higher (43.5 %) and 38 °C (32 %). Recent observations confirm an ongoing heat spell with no significant cooling advection or cloud cover expected through the weekend, while minor model spread around peak intensity keeps lower bins (37 °C and below) at combined ~24 %. Updated runs closer to the date will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 39 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,803End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity, are driving model consensus for a maximum temperature of 37–40 °C in Jeddah on August 29. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional numerical guidance show daily highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of 36–38 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 39 °C or higher (43.5 %) and 38 °C (32 %). Recent observations confirm an ongoing heat spell with no significant cooling advection or cloud cover expected through the weekend, while minor model spread around peak intensity keeps lower bins (37 °C and below) at combined ~24 %. Updated runs closer to the date will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 39 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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