Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33°C in Ankara on August 27 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. Afternoon observations from multiple stations have tracked closely with these runs, confirming peak readings near that threshold during the warmest hours. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight observational alignment and the absence of any late-day convective development that could push temperatures higher. Only a significant measurement revision or localized urban heat-island spike beyond standard instrument tolerances would realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
33°C 99.9%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,897 Vol.
$61,897 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,897 Vol.
$61,897 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$1,519 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,988 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,380 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,570 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$15,980 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,714 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$565 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33°C in Ankara on August 27 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. Afternoon observations from multiple stations have tracked closely with these runs, confirming peak readings near that threshold during the warmest hours. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight observational alignment and the absence of any late-day convective development that could push temperatures higher. Only a significant measurement revision or localized urban heat-island spike beyond standard instrument tolerances would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$61,897End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33°C in Ankara on August 27 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. Afternoon observations from multiple stations have tracked closely with these runs, confirming peak readings near that threshold during the warmest hours. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight observational alignment and the absence of any late-day convective development that could push temperatures higher. Only a significant measurement revision or localized urban heat-island spike beyond standard instrument tolerances would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,897End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33°C in Ankara on August 27 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. Afternoon observations from multiple stations have tracked closely with these runs, confirming peak readings near that threshold during the warmest hours. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight observational alignment and the absence of any late-day convective development that could push temperatures higher. Only a significant measurement revision or localized urban heat-island spike beyond standard instrument tolerances would realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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