**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling, with multiple forecast models and official guidance converging on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Ankara on August 27.** Historical August lows average near 17–18°C, and current conditions—minimal cloud cover, dew points in the low teens Celsius, and northerly flow—align with this typical late-summer pattern, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability (99.6%) of 17°C or below. The primary resolution risk remains a late shift in cloud cover or wind that could limit cooling to 18°C or higher, though model consensus through the evening hours shows low likelihood of such change before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
17°C or below 99.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$4,686 Vol.
$4,686 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 99.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$4,686 Vol.
$4,686 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$411 Vol.
100%
18°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling, with multiple forecast models and official guidance converging on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Ankara on August 27.** Historical August lows average near 17–18°C, and current conditions—minimal cloud cover, dew points in the low teens Celsius, and northerly flow—align with this typical late-summer pattern, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability (99.6%) of 17°C or below. The primary resolution risk remains a late shift in cloud cover or wind that could limit cooling to 18°C or higher, though model consensus through the evening hours shows low likelihood of such change before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,686End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling, with multiple forecast models and official guidance converging on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Ankara on August 27.** Historical August lows average near 17–18°C, and current conditions—minimal cloud cover, dew points in the low teens Celsius, and northerly flow—align with this typical late-summer pattern, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability (99.6%) of 17°C or below. The primary resolution risk remains a late shift in cloud cover or wind that could limit cooling to 18°C or higher, though model consensus through the evening hours shows low likelihood of such change before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,686End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling, with multiple forecast models and official guidance converging on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Ankara on August 27.** Historical August lows average near 17–18°C, and current conditions—minimal cloud cover, dew points in the low teens Celsius, and northerly flow—align with this typical late-summer pattern, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability (99.6%) of 17°C or below. The primary resolution risk remains a late shift in cloud cover or wind that could limit cooling to 18°C or higher, though model consensus through the evening hours shows low likelihood of such change before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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