Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Ankara on August 28 likely between 13–15°C, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover with a 50% chance of thunderstorms and showers. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to the clear, hot nights earlier in the week while limiting extreme drops through modest wind and higher humidity. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance shows minor variations in exact minimums based on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region support this range, with official Turkish Meteorological Service observations serving as the resolution source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
18°C 95%
14°C 48%
13°C 47%
12°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
10%
12°C
47%
13°C
47%
14°C
48%
15°C
46%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
95%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
14°C 48%
13°C 47%
12°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$198 Vol.
10%
12°C
$6 Vol.
47%
13°C
$2 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$5 Vol.
47%
17°C
$20 Vol.
47%
18°C
$33 Vol.
95%
19°C
$15 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$98 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Ankara on August 28 likely between 13–15°C, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover with a 50% chance of thunderstorms and showers. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to the clear, hot nights earlier in the week while limiting extreme drops through modest wind and higher humidity. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance shows minor variations in exact minimums based on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region support this range, with official Turkish Meteorological Service observations serving as the resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$524End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Ankara on August 28 likely between 13–15°C, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover with a 50% chance of thunderstorms and showers. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to the clear, hot nights earlier in the week while limiting extreme drops through modest wind and higher humidity. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance shows minor variations in exact minimums based on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region support this range, with official Turkish Meteorological Service observations serving as the resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$524End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Ankara on August 28 likely between 13–15°C, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover with a 50% chance of thunderstorms and showers. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to the clear, hot nights earlier in the week while limiting extreme drops through modest wind and higher humidity. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance shows minor variations in exact minimums based on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region support this range, with official Turkish Meteorological Service observations serving as the resolution source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions