Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Ankara on August 28 as the most probable outcome, driven by northerly flow, moderate humidity around 30–50 %, and increasing afternoon instability that favors scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions typically suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation once cloud cover builds, distinguishing the 27 °C market leader from slightly cooler 26 °C scenarios if convection initiates earlier. Traders weigh official guidance on maximum temperatures against historical late-August variability, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs within 1–2 °C of forecast values, while acknowledging that minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing could still tip resolution between the two leading outcomes before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
27°C 42%
26°C 33%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NEW
$14,866 Vol.
NEW
$14,866 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
33%
27°C
42%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 33%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NEW
$14,866 Vol.
NEW
$14,866 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$46 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$585 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,732 Vol.
9%
26°C
$4,315 Vol.
33%
27°C
$3,925 Vol.
42%
28°C
$1,870 Vol.
18%
29°C
$368 Vol.
3%
30°C
$350 Vol.
1%
31°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Ankara on August 28 as the most probable outcome, driven by northerly flow, moderate humidity around 30–50 %, and increasing afternoon instability that favors scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions typically suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation once cloud cover builds, distinguishing the 27 °C market leader from slightly cooler 26 °C scenarios if convection initiates earlier. Traders weigh official guidance on maximum temperatures against historical late-August variability, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs within 1–2 °C of forecast values, while acknowledging that minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing could still tip resolution between the two leading outcomes before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,866End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Ankara on August 28 as the most probable outcome, driven by northerly flow, moderate humidity around 30–50 %, and increasing afternoon instability that favors scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions typically suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation once cloud cover builds, distinguishing the 27 °C market leader from slightly cooler 26 °C scenarios if convection initiates earlier. Traders weigh official guidance on maximum temperatures against historical late-August variability, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs within 1–2 °C of forecast values, while acknowledging that minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing could still tip resolution between the two leading outcomes before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,866End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Ankara on August 28 as the most probable outcome, driven by northerly flow, moderate humidity around 30–50 %, and increasing afternoon instability that favors scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions typically suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation once cloud cover builds, distinguishing the 27 °C market leader from slightly cooler 26 °C scenarios if convection initiates earlier. Traders weigh official guidance on maximum temperatures against historical late-August variability, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs within 1–2 °C of forecast values, while acknowledging that minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing could still tip resolution between the two leading outcomes before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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