Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate an afternoon peak near 31°C in Munich under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and negligible precipitation, positioning 31°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This exceeds the late-August climatological average high of approximately 23°C due to a warm air mass, sufficient solar insolation despite variable cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification. Official DWD station observations will resolve the exact maximum through continuous hourly monitoring, with trader consensus reflecting confidence in the narrow forecast range centered on 30–31°C given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 27?
31°C 63%
30°C 26%
32°C 9%
29°C 5%
$44,841 Vol.
$44,841 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
63%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 26%
32°C 9%
29°C 5%
$44,841 Vol.
$44,841 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$3,611 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,857 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,260 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,430 Vol.
5%
30°C
$6,021 Vol.
26%
31°C
$8,982 Vol.
63%
32°C
$11,339 Vol.
9%
33°C
$5,127 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate an afternoon peak near 31°C in Munich under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and negligible precipitation, positioning 31°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This exceeds the late-August climatological average high of approximately 23°C due to a warm air mass, sufficient solar insolation despite variable cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification. Official DWD station observations will resolve the exact maximum through continuous hourly monitoring, with trader consensus reflecting confidence in the narrow forecast range centered on 30–31°C given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$44,841End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate an afternoon peak near 31°C in Munich under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and negligible precipitation, positioning 31°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This exceeds the late-August climatological average high of approximately 23°C due to a warm air mass, sufficient solar insolation despite variable cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification. Official DWD station observations will resolve the exact maximum through continuous hourly monitoring, with trader consensus reflecting confidence in the narrow forecast range centered on 30–31°C given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,841End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate an afternoon peak near 31°C in Munich under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and negligible precipitation, positioning 31°C as the dominant market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. This exceeds the late-August climatological average high of approximately 23°C due to a warm air mass, sufficient solar insolation despite variable cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification. Official DWD station observations will resolve the exact maximum through continuous hourly monitoring, with trader consensus reflecting confidence in the narrow forecast range centered on 30–31°C given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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