Recent forecasts indicate a cooler air mass arriving with showers and thunderstorms on August 29, pulling maximum temperatures in Munich down from recent highs near 29–30°C toward the late-August climatological average of 22.8°C. Multiple models converge on a daytime peak of 23–24°C under increasing cloud cover and westerly flow, though the precise high hinges on the timing of any rain and residual warmth in the boundary layer. With probabilities tightly clustered between 23°C and 26°C, traders are pricing in modest model spread and the chance that partial clearing could allow brief warming above the mean. Historical variability on the date, where highs have ranged from the low teens to the low 30s, underscores the sensitivity to synoptic details still evolving in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooler air mass arriving with showers and thunderstorms on August 29, pulling maximum temperatures in Munich down from recent highs near 29–30°C toward the late-August climatological average of 22.8°C. Multiple models converge on a daytime peak of 23–24°C under increasing cloud cover and westerly flow, though the precise high hinges on the timing of any rain and residual warmth in the boundary layer. With probabilities tightly clustered between 23°C and 26°C, traders are pricing in modest model spread and the chance that partial clearing could allow brief warming above the mean. Historical variability on the date, where highs have ranged from the low teens to the low 30s, underscores the sensitivity to synoptic details still evolving in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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