Traders have positioned 32°C as the clear favorite for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 27 because official model consensus and the Meteorological Service Singapore outlook point to daytime maxima in the low 32s under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, with southeasterly winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers expected to limit further heating. Recent August observations show frequent peaks of 33–34°C, yet the latest GFS and regional guidance for the 27th incorporate higher cloud cover and precipitation probabilities that cap the daily high near 31–32°C. The 33°C outcome retains meaningful probability given historical variability and the fortnight’s broader 33–34°C guidance, while lower readings remain possible if showers arrive earlier or are heavier than forecast. New model runs and the National Environment Agency’s daily update will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 27?
32°C 60%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
$25,719 Vol.
$25,719 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
60%
33°C
17%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
$25,719 Vol.
$25,719 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
60%
33°C
17%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have positioned 32°C as the clear favorite for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 27 because official model consensus and the Meteorological Service Singapore outlook point to daytime maxima in the low 32s under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, with southeasterly winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers expected to limit further heating. Recent August observations show frequent peaks of 33–34°C, yet the latest GFS and regional guidance for the 27th incorporate higher cloud cover and precipitation probabilities that cap the daily high near 31–32°C. The 33°C outcome retains meaningful probability given historical variability and the fortnight’s broader 33–34°C guidance, while lower readings remain possible if showers arrive earlier or are heavier than forecast. New model runs and the National Environment Agency’s daily update will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions