Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources indicate unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near 23 °C. Northerly flow and precipitation reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 22–24 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. This aligns with climatological analogs of late-summer frontal passages that typically lower highs 5–7 °C below seasonal averages around 30 °C. Final resolution depends on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum observation, with updated model guidance expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
23°C 37%
22°C 30%
24°C 22%
21°C or below 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
8%
22°C
30%
23°C
37%
24°C
22%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 37%
22°C 30%
24°C 22%
21°C or below 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$1,126 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,523 Vol.
30%
23°C
$1,200 Vol.
37%
24°C
$1,545 Vol.
22%
25°C
$527 Vol.
7%
26°C
$232 Vol.
3%
27°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources indicate unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near 23 °C. Northerly flow and precipitation reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 22–24 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. This aligns with climatological analogs of late-summer frontal passages that typically lower highs 5–7 °C below seasonal averages around 30 °C. Final resolution depends on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum observation, with updated model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,087End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources indicate unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near 23 °C. Northerly flow and precipitation reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 22–24 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. This aligns with climatological analogs of late-summer frontal passages that typically lower highs 5–7 °C below seasonal averages around 30 °C. Final resolution depends on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum observation, with updated model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,087End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources indicate unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near 23 °C. Northerly flow and precipitation reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 22–24 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. This aligns with climatological analogs of late-summer frontal passages that typically lower highs 5–7 °C below seasonal averages around 30 °C. Final resolution depends on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum observation, with updated model guidance expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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