Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 30?
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
28°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
28°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$22 Vol.
32%
32°C
$4 Vol.
32%
33°C
$11 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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