Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 30?
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
37%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
10%
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$2 Vol.
37%
30°C
$91 Vol.
44%
31°C
$5 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$98End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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