Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international agencies indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day in Paris on August 28 with widespread showers or thunderstorms and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, limiting daytime heating after the warmer 27th. This setup favors a daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at those levels while keeping 24 °C plausible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation suppress the higher outcomes above 25 °C that would require clearer, more stable conditions. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing modest diurnal ranges and precipitation cooling effects, with the final observed maximum at official Paris stations likely resolving within the narrow 22–24 °C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
23°C 41%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 8%
NEW
$10,413 Vol.
NEW
$10,413 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
41%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 41%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 8%
NEW
$10,413 Vol.
NEW
$10,413 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$263 Vol.
2%
21°C
$923 Vol.
7%
22°C
$1,304 Vol.
18%
23°C
$1,458 Vol.
41%
24°C
$1,611 Vol.
28%
25°C
$600 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$311 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international agencies indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day in Paris on August 28 with widespread showers or thunderstorms and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, limiting daytime heating after the warmer 27th. This setup favors a daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at those levels while keeping 24 °C plausible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation suppress the higher outcomes above 25 °C that would require clearer, more stable conditions. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing modest diurnal ranges and precipitation cooling effects, with the final observed maximum at official Paris stations likely resolving within the narrow 22–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,413End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international agencies indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day in Paris on August 28 with widespread showers or thunderstorms and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, limiting daytime heating after the warmer 27th. This setup favors a daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at those levels while keeping 24 °C plausible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation suppress the higher outcomes above 25 °C that would require clearer, more stable conditions. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing modest diurnal ranges and precipitation cooling effects, with the final observed maximum at official Paris stations likely resolving within the narrow 22–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,413End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international agencies indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day in Paris on August 28 with widespread showers or thunderstorms and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, limiting daytime heating after the warmer 27th. This setup favors a daily maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at those levels while keeping 24 °C plausible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation suppress the higher outcomes above 25 °C that would require clearer, more stable conditions. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs showing modest diurnal ranges and precipitation cooling effects, with the final observed maximum at official Paris stations likely resolving within the narrow 22–24 °C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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