Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow that advects cooler Atlantic air, with partial cloud cover and a modest shower risk limiting insolation. This setup follows a period of unsettled weather that has suppressed temperatures below late-August climatology (average high near 24°C). Minor differences among 23°C, 22°C, and 24°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness, and sustained wind speeds, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 37%
22°C 29%
24°C 23%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
29%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C or higher
6%
23°C 37%
22°C 29%
24°C 23%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$370 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$199 Vol.
1%
19°C
$97 Vol.
1%
20°C
$242 Vol.
4%
21°C
$57 Vol.
8%
22°C
$442 Vol.
29%
23°C
$707 Vol.
37%
24°C
$250 Vol.
23%
25°C or higher
$237 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow that advects cooler Atlantic air, with partial cloud cover and a modest shower risk limiting insolation. This setup follows a period of unsettled weather that has suppressed temperatures below late-August climatology (average high near 24°C). Minor differences among 23°C, 22°C, and 24°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness, and sustained wind speeds, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,042End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow that advects cooler Atlantic air, with partial cloud cover and a modest shower risk limiting insolation. This setup follows a period of unsettled weather that has suppressed temperatures below late-August climatology (average high near 24°C). Minor differences among 23°C, 22°C, and 24°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness, and sustained wind speeds, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,042End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow that advects cooler Atlantic air, with partial cloud cover and a modest shower risk limiting insolation. This setup follows a period of unsettled weather that has suppressed temperatures below late-August climatology (average high near 24°C). Minor differences among 23°C, 22°C, and 24°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness, and sustained wind speeds, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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