Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris overnight into August 28, driven by cooler southwesterly maritime flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance clusters overnight lows between 16–18°C, consistent with historical late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups, though exact resolution depends on precise timing of any clearing skies. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with implied probabilities favoring 17°C as the mode while acknowledging divergence risks from updated runs ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
17°C 43%
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
43%
18°C
28%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 43%
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$78 Vol.
2%
13°C
$63 Vol.
4%
14°C
$36 Vol.
4%
15°C
$18 Vol.
4%
16°C
$218 Vol.
22%
17°C
$353 Vol.
43%
18°C
$110 Vol.
28%
19°C
$18 Vol.
9%
20°C
$19 Vol.
3%
21°C
$79 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris overnight into August 28, driven by cooler southwesterly maritime flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance clusters overnight lows between 16–18°C, consistent with historical late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups, though exact resolution depends on precise timing of any clearing skies. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with implied probabilities favoring 17°C as the mode while acknowledging divergence risks from updated runs ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$893End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris overnight into August 28, driven by cooler southwesterly maritime flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance clusters overnight lows between 16–18°C, consistent with historical late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups, though exact resolution depends on precise timing of any clearing skies. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with implied probabilities favoring 17°C as the mode while acknowledging divergence risks from updated runs ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris overnight into August 28, driven by cooler southwesterly maritime flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance clusters overnight lows between 16–18°C, consistent with historical late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups, though exact resolution depends on precise timing of any clearing skies. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with implied probabilities favoring 17°C as the mode while acknowledging divergence risks from updated runs ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions