Recent forecasts for Chengdu show highs clustering around 30–33°C on August 30 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and low rain chances after thunderstorms on the prior two days. Model consensus points to moderate humidity, light northerly or westerly winds, and residual moisture limiting daytime heating, consistent with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum readings, driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local station microclimates rather than any strong warming or cooling signal. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
32°C 22%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
19%
32°C
22%
33°C
20%
34°C
14%
35°C
9%
36°C
7%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 22%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$2 Vol.
14%
35°C
$2 Vol.
9%
36°C
$33 Vol.
7%
37°C
$125 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu show highs clustering around 30–33°C on August 30 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and low rain chances after thunderstorms on the prior two days. Model consensus points to moderate humidity, light northerly or westerly winds, and residual moisture limiting daytime heating, consistent with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum readings, driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local station microclimates rather than any strong warming or cooling signal. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$312End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu show highs clustering around 30–33°C on August 30 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and low rain chances after thunderstorms on the prior two days. Model consensus points to moderate humidity, light northerly or westerly winds, and residual moisture limiting daytime heating, consistent with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum readings, driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local station microclimates rather than any strong warming or cooling signal. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$312End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu show highs clustering around 30–33°C on August 30 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and low rain chances after thunderstorms on the prior two days. Model consensus points to moderate humidity, light northerly or westerly winds, and residual moisture limiting daytime heating, consistent with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 31–33°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum readings, driven by small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local station microclimates rather than any strong warming or cooling signal. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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