Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily high near 37–38°C in Jeddah on August 30 amid persistent late-summer conditions, with light northwesterly winds, low precipitation, and humidity levels around 40–60% limiting evaporative cooling. This aligns with August 2026 observations showing a monthly mean departure of +2.2°C above the 32.8°C normal and daily maxima frequently reaching 37–39°C in the latter half of the month after earlier peaks above 43°C. Traders assign roughly 77% combined implied probability to 39°C or higher due to model spread and the potential for localized heat retention, though updated guidance through the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain or moderate the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
40°C or higher 53%
39°C 26%
38°C 16%
37°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C
6%
38°C
16%
39°C
26%
40°C or higher
53%
40°C or higher 53%
39°C 26%
38°C 16%
37°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
30°C or below
$268 Vol.
1%
31°C
$266 Vol.
1%
32°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$131 Vol.
4%
37°C
$52 Vol.
6%
38°C
$32 Vol.
16%
39°C
$395 Vol.
26%
40°C or higher
$466 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily high near 37–38°C in Jeddah on August 30 amid persistent late-summer conditions, with light northwesterly winds, low precipitation, and humidity levels around 40–60% limiting evaporative cooling. This aligns with August 2026 observations showing a monthly mean departure of +2.2°C above the 32.8°C normal and daily maxima frequently reaching 37–39°C in the latter half of the month after earlier peaks above 43°C. Traders assign roughly 77% combined implied probability to 39°C or higher due to model spread and the potential for localized heat retention, though updated guidance through the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain or moderate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,502End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily high near 37–38°C in Jeddah on August 30 amid persistent late-summer conditions, with light northwesterly winds, low precipitation, and humidity levels around 40–60% limiting evaporative cooling. This aligns with August 2026 observations showing a monthly mean departure of +2.2°C above the 32.8°C normal and daily maxima frequently reaching 37–39°C in the latter half of the month after earlier peaks above 43°C. Traders assign roughly 77% combined implied probability to 39°C or higher due to model spread and the potential for localized heat retention, though updated guidance through the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain or moderate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,502End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily high near 37–38°C in Jeddah on August 30 amid persistent late-summer conditions, with light northwesterly winds, low precipitation, and humidity levels around 40–60% limiting evaporative cooling. This aligns with August 2026 observations showing a monthly mean departure of +2.2°C above the 32.8°C normal and daily maxima frequently reaching 37–39°C in the latter half of the month after earlier peaks above 43°C. Traders assign roughly 77% combined implied probability to 39°C or higher due to model spread and the potential for localized heat retention, though updated guidance through the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain or moderate the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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