Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models indicate a partly cloudy Sunday with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–25 °C as the most likely daily maximum. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,300 m and the ongoing rainy-season pattern promote frequent cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap afternoon heating, while lighter winds and moderate humidity limit further temperature rises. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any convective development, which could shave 1 °C from peak values or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 26 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the distinction among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
16%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$167 Vol.
1%
21°C
$97 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
4%
23°C
$94 Vol.
11%
24°C
$62 Vol.
37%
25°C
$213 Vol.
37%
26°C or higher
$34 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models indicate a partly cloudy Sunday with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–25 °C as the most likely daily maximum. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,300 m and the ongoing rainy-season pattern promote frequent cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap afternoon heating, while lighter winds and moderate humidity limit further temperature rises. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any convective development, which could shave 1 °C from peak values or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 26 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the distinction among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,237End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models indicate a partly cloudy Sunday with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–25 °C as the most likely daily maximum. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,300 m and the ongoing rainy-season pattern promote frequent cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap afternoon heating, while lighter winds and moderate humidity limit further temperature rises. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any convective development, which could shave 1 °C from peak values or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 26 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the distinction among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,237End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models indicate a partly cloudy Sunday with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible in the afternoon, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 24–25 °C as the most likely daily maximum. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,300 m and the ongoing rainy-season pattern promote frequent cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap afternoon heating, while lighter winds and moderate humidity limit further temperature rises. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any convective development, which could shave 1 °C from peak values or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 26 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the distinction among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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