Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 28 shows a partly sunny day with a slight morning shower chance and highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by modest westerly flow, residual boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover that limits peak insolation. These conditions create genuine forecast uncertainty between 82–85 °F bins, as small differences in timing or coverage of scattered convection or thin cloud decks can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, consistent with typical late-August climatology and the limited divergence among short-range guidance available 24 hours before the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 28?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$80 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$145 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$1 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$619 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$720 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$421 Vol.
33%
86-87°F
$774 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$57 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$82 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 28 shows a partly sunny day with a slight morning shower chance and highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by modest westerly flow, residual boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover that limits peak insolation. These conditions create genuine forecast uncertainty between 82–85 °F bins, as small differences in timing or coverage of scattered convection or thin cloud decks can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, consistent with typical late-August climatology and the limited divergence among short-range guidance available 24 hours before the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,380End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 28 shows a partly sunny day with a slight morning shower chance and highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by modest westerly flow, residual boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover that limits peak insolation. These conditions create genuine forecast uncertainty between 82–85 °F bins, as small differences in timing or coverage of scattered convection or thin cloud decks can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, consistent with typical late-August climatology and the limited divergence among short-range guidance available 24 hours before the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,380End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 28 shows a partly sunny day with a slight morning shower chance and highs centered in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by modest westerly flow, residual boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover that limits peak insolation. These conditions create genuine forecast uncertainty between 82–85 °F bins, as small differences in timing or coverage of scattered convection or thin cloud decks can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, consistent with typical late-August climatology and the limited divergence among short-range guidance available 24 hours before the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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