**The market consensus on 84–85°F at LAX reflects the strong Pacific marine layer that capped coastal maxima during the late-August Southern California heat wave.** Official NWS observations and model guidance showed persistent onshore southwest flow and a shallow marine layer maintaining elevated dew points and limiting afternoon heating at the airport, while inland valleys exceeded 100°F. This produced a narrow observed high in the mid-80s at the resolution station, well below downtown Los Angeles readings near 97°F. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary climatological data confirmed the range, consistent with historical coastal moderation patterns under similar synoptic setups. A late data revision or measurement discrepancy at the LAX station remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,467 Vol.
$60,467 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,467 Vol.
$60,467 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,241 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,006 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$20,225 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$8,848 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$7,149 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$5,237 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,200 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$3,041 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market consensus on 84–85°F at LAX reflects the strong Pacific marine layer that capped coastal maxima during the late-August Southern California heat wave.** Official NWS observations and model guidance showed persistent onshore southwest flow and a shallow marine layer maintaining elevated dew points and limiting afternoon heating at the airport, while inland valleys exceeded 100°F. This produced a narrow observed high in the mid-80s at the resolution station, well below downtown Los Angeles readings near 97°F. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary climatological data confirmed the range, consistent with historical coastal moderation patterns under similar synoptic setups. A late data revision or measurement discrepancy at the LAX station remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$60,467End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market consensus on 84–85°F at LAX reflects the strong Pacific marine layer that capped coastal maxima during the late-August Southern California heat wave.** Official NWS observations and model guidance showed persistent onshore southwest flow and a shallow marine layer maintaining elevated dew points and limiting afternoon heating at the airport, while inland valleys exceeded 100°F. This produced a narrow observed high in the mid-80s at the resolution station, well below downtown Los Angeles readings near 97°F. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary climatological data confirmed the range, consistent with historical coastal moderation patterns under similar synoptic setups. A late data revision or measurement discrepancy at the LAX station remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,467End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market consensus on 84–85°F at LAX reflects the strong Pacific marine layer that capped coastal maxima during the late-August Southern California heat wave.** Official NWS observations and model guidance showed persistent onshore southwest flow and a shallow marine layer maintaining elevated dew points and limiting afternoon heating at the airport, while inland valleys exceeded 100°F. This produced a narrow observed high in the mid-80s at the resolution station, well below downtown Los Angeles readings near 97°F. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary climatological data confirmed the range, consistent with historical coastal moderation patterns under similar synoptic setups. A late data revision or measurement discrepancy at the LAX station remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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