Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by strong high pressure and warm offshore flow, have elevated overnight lows into the mid-70s°F through August 28, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 73–79°F at key Los Angeles stations, consistent with recent climatological trends of unusually warm coastal waters sustaining humidity and reducing temperature drops. Trader sentiment favoring 67°F or below (46% implied probability) alongside clustered bets in the 72–79°F ranges reflects uncertainty around marine layer intrusion timing or model spread in the final forecast updates, with resolution hinging on the official recorded low from authoritative meteorological observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
78-79°F 47%
86°F or higher 47%
67°F or below 46%
82-83°F 27%
67°F or below
46%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
22%
86°F or higher
47%
78-79°F 47%
86°F or higher 47%
67°F or below 46%
82-83°F 27%
67°F or below
46%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
22%
86°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by strong high pressure and warm offshore flow, have elevated overnight lows into the mid-70s°F through August 28, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 73–79°F at key Los Angeles stations, consistent with recent climatological trends of unusually warm coastal waters sustaining humidity and reducing temperature drops. Trader sentiment favoring 67°F or below (46% implied probability) alongside clustered bets in the 72–79°F ranges reflects uncertainty around marine layer intrusion timing or model spread in the final forecast updates, with resolution hinging on the official recorded low from authoritative meteorological observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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