**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high in the upper 80s to low 90s°F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a post-heat-wave cooling trend under strengthening southwest onshore flow.** After several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 95–100°F, increased marine-layer influence and diurnal sea-breeze circulation are expected to moderate temperatures, keeping the peak below the recent peak but still well above the ~77°F late-August climatological average at Los Angeles International Airport. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 80–87°F market bins include the precise timing of morning marine-layer clearing, afternoon wind speeds (typically 10–15 mph from the southwest), and the strength of the thermal gradient between the coast and interior valleys. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect modest uncertainty around these factors, producing the even trader distribution across the central bins while assigning negligible probability to extremes outside 80–91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
84-85°F 46%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 43%
86-87°F 19%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
6%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 46%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 43%
86-87°F 19%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
6%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high in the upper 80s to low 90s°F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a post-heat-wave cooling trend under strengthening southwest onshore flow.** After several days of extreme heat with highs near or above 95–100°F, increased marine-layer influence and diurnal sea-breeze circulation are expected to moderate temperatures, keeping the peak below the recent peak but still well above the ~77°F late-August climatological average at Los Angeles International Airport. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 80–87°F market bins include the precise timing of morning marine-layer clearing, afternoon wind speeds (typically 10–15 mph from the southwest), and the strength of the thermal gradient between the coast and interior valleys. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect modest uncertainty around these factors, producing the even trader distribution across the central bins while assigning negligible probability to extremes outside 80–91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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