Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current conditions feature temperatures in the low 20s°C with dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 50%, producing a cooler-than-climatological profile following earlier showers. Hourly guidance shows peaks clustered near 25°C around mid-afternoon before rapid evening cooling, with limited model spread reflecting stable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest probability to 25°C, consistent with this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of sufficient insolation or advection to reach 27°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 45%
24°C 37%
26°C 11%
23°C 4%
NEW
$14,393 Vol.
NEW
$14,393 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
37%
25°C
45%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 37%
26°C 11%
23°C 4%
NEW
$14,393 Vol.
NEW
$14,393 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,110 Vol.
4%
24°C
$3,460 Vol.
37%
25°C
$4,003 Vol.
45%
26°C
$2,343 Vol.
11%
27°C
$1,125 Vol.
1%
28°C
$649 Vol.
1%
29°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current conditions feature temperatures in the low 20s°C with dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 50%, producing a cooler-than-climatological profile following earlier showers. Hourly guidance shows peaks clustered near 25°C around mid-afternoon before rapid evening cooling, with limited model spread reflecting stable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest probability to 25°C, consistent with this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of sufficient insolation or advection to reach 27°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,393End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current conditions feature temperatures in the low 20s°C with dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 50%, producing a cooler-than-climatological profile following earlier showers. Hourly guidance shows peaks clustered near 25°C around mid-afternoon before rapid evening cooling, with limited model spread reflecting stable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest probability to 25°C, consistent with this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of sufficient insolation or advection to reach 27°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,393End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current conditions feature temperatures in the low 20s°C with dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 50%, producing a cooler-than-climatological profile following earlier showers. Hourly guidance shows peaks clustered near 25°C around mid-afternoon before rapid evening cooling, with limited model spread reflecting stable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest probability to 25°C, consistent with this narrow forecast envelope and the low likelihood of sufficient insolation or advection to reach 27°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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