Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows Seattle under mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with highs near 70°F and light northerly winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover. Model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 54–57°F bins because small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and exact clearing timing can shift the overnight low across adjacent 2°F ranges, while lower-probability outcomes reflect tail risks from unexpected marine stratus or warmer advection. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
50-51°F 81%
60-61°F 80%
58-59°F 78%
62-63°F 77%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
60%
48-49°F
59%
50-51°F
81%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
53%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
78%
60-61°F
80%
62-63°F
77%
64-65°F
57%
66°F or higher
59%
50-51°F 81%
60-61°F 80%
58-59°F 78%
62-63°F 77%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
60%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
59%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
81%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
45%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
53%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
47%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
78%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
80%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
77%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
57%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows Seattle under mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with highs near 70°F and light northerly winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover. Model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 54–57°F bins because small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and exact clearing timing can shift the overnight low across adjacent 2°F ranges, while lower-probability outcomes reflect tail risks from unexpected marine stratus or warmer advection. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows Seattle under mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with highs near 70°F and light northerly winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover. Model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 54–57°F bins because small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and exact clearing timing can shift the overnight low across adjacent 2°F ranges, while lower-probability outcomes reflect tail risks from unexpected marine stratus or warmer advection. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows Seattle under mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with highs near 70°F and light northerly winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover. Model consensus points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 54–57°F bins because small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and exact clearing timing can shift the overnight low across adjacent 2°F ranges, while lower-probability outcomes reflect tail risks from unexpected marine stratus or warmer advection. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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