**Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo will experience continued warmth on August 31 under a hot, dry air mass, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range before a cold front arrives around September 1.** This setup stems from a persistent warm, dry air mass driving daytime highs of 31–37°C and limiting overnight cooling, while the approaching cold front—bringing rain, stronger winds, and a sharp temperature drop—is expected to reach the region primarily on the 1st. Official and model guidance (including Met Office, European models, and local sources) consistently point to overnight lows near 19–20°C on the 31st, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to the air mass and possible cloud cover. The near-even market split between “27°C or higher” and “17°C or below” reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around the front’s exact timing and any earlier cooling or model divergence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but the current anomaly has kept recent nights milder; resolution hinges on updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
27°C or higher 93%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
17°C or below
45%
18°C
28%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C or higher
93%
27°C or higher 93%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
17°C or below
45%
18°C
28%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo will experience continued warmth on August 31 under a hot, dry air mass, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 19–21°C range before a cold front arrives around September 1.** This setup stems from a persistent warm, dry air mass driving daytime highs of 31–37°C and limiting overnight cooling, while the approaching cold front—bringing rain, stronger winds, and a sharp temperature drop—is expected to reach the region primarily on the 1st. Official and model guidance (including Met Office, European models, and local sources) consistently point to overnight lows near 19–20°C on the 31st, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to the air mass and possible cloud cover. The near-even market split between “27°C or higher” and “17°C or below” reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around the front’s exact timing and any earlier cooling or model divergence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but the current anomaly has kept recent nights milder; resolution hinges on updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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