Recent forecast guidance from major models points to a daily maximum near 17–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. This stable pattern, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative warming expected, keeps the most probable outcomes clustered around 19–21°C while limiting upside risk above 22°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest because surface pressure gradients are weak and dew points are forecast to stay near 11–13°C, moderating daytime peaks. Traders therefore assign roughly equal weight to the 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C bins, reflecting residual uncertainty in the precise timing of any afternoon clearing versus lingering low-level moisture.