Recent monsoon conditions in Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are moderating daytime heating and driving trader consensus toward a 32–33°C high for Lucknow on August 29. Official IMD guidance notes generally cloudy skies with isolated rain or thunderstorms, consistent with model outputs ranging from 31–34°C across sources. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity—prolonged cloud cover or early precipitation would cap the peak near 32°C, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief solar heating to reach 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, though active monsoon patterns this season have produced variable daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
35%
33°C
33%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
35%
33°C
33%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions in Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, are moderating daytime heating and driving trader consensus toward a 32–33°C high for Lucknow on August 29. Official IMD guidance notes generally cloudy skies with isolated rain or thunderstorms, consistent with model outputs ranging from 31–34°C across sources. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C reflects uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity—prolonged cloud cover or early precipitation would cap the peak near 32°C, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief solar heating to reach 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, though active monsoon patterns this season have produced variable daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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