Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 34°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, yet widespread monsoon thundershowers and cloud cover—already evident in the past 48 hours—introduce significant cooling that favors trader consensus around 31–32°C. Daytime highs have recently ranged 32–34°C amid variable rainfall that suppresses insolation, while ensemble guidance shows model spread tied to exact shower timing and intensity. This uncertainty explains the tight probabilities between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes, with lower odds for 33°C+ reflecting the likelihood of convective activity limiting peaks. Updated IMD briefings and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
30%
33°C or higher
18%
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$50 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$111 Vol.
32%
32°C
$296 Vol.
30%
33°C or higher
$56 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 34°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, yet widespread monsoon thundershowers and cloud cover—already evident in the past 48 hours—introduce significant cooling that favors trader consensus around 31–32°C. Daytime highs have recently ranged 32–34°C amid variable rainfall that suppresses insolation, while ensemble guidance shows model spread tied to exact shower timing and intensity. This uncertainty explains the tight probabilities between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes, with lower odds for 33°C+ reflecting the likelihood of convective activity limiting peaks. Updated IMD briefings and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,931End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 34°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, yet widespread monsoon thundershowers and cloud cover—already evident in the past 48 hours—introduce significant cooling that favors trader consensus around 31–32°C. Daytime highs have recently ranged 32–34°C amid variable rainfall that suppresses insolation, while ensemble guidance shows model spread tied to exact shower timing and intensity. This uncertainty explains the tight probabilities between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes, with lower odds for 33°C+ reflecting the likelihood of convective activity limiting peaks. Updated IMD briefings and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,931End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 34°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, yet widespread monsoon thundershowers and cloud cover—already evident in the past 48 hours—introduce significant cooling that favors trader consensus around 31–32°C. Daytime highs have recently ranged 32–34°C amid variable rainfall that suppresses insolation, while ensemble guidance shows model spread tied to exact shower timing and intensity. This uncertainty explains the tight probabilities between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes, with lower odds for 33°C+ reflecting the likelihood of convective activity limiting peaks. Updated IMD briefings and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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