Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
32°C 32%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
26%
34°C
14%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
3%
28°C
$24 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$7 Vol.
32%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$44 Vol.
14%
35°C
$26 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions