Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a trough line over central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, are driving extensive cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity across Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating. Official IMD guidance issued August 26 projects a maximum near 32°C on August 27 amid overcast skies and rain spells, consistent with recent observations of 30.4°C highs (3°C below normal) and model consensus from multiple sources clustering between 29–32°C. Persistent rainfall and limited solar insolation during peak monsoon season make outcomes near 31–32°C the most probable, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover occur. Updated forecasts and real-time observations on resolution day will refine trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
12%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
12%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a trough line over central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, are driving extensive cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity across Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating. Official IMD guidance issued August 26 projects a maximum near 32°C on August 27 amid overcast skies and rain spells, consistent with recent observations of 30.4°C highs (3°C below normal) and model consensus from multiple sources clustering between 29–32°C. Persistent rainfall and limited solar insolation during peak monsoon season make outcomes near 31–32°C the most probable, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover occur. Updated forecasts and real-time observations on resolution day will refine trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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