**Persistent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and widespread cloud cover with rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–27°C for August 27.** High humidity (often 80–94%) and frequent precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds (typically 3–8 mph) offer little additional mixing. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum of 27°C, with other models and station data clustering between 26–28°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers. Recent observations show overnight lows fluctuating in this narrow band amid above-normal humidity and scattered rainfall, creating tight uncertainty between the leading market outcomes. Traders weigh the balance of continued cloudiness versus any brief clear spells that could allow a dip toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and the next official IMD briefing will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
26°C 52%
27°C 38%
28°C 30%
25°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
36%
27°C
38%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 52%
27°C 38%
28°C 30%
25°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
22°C
$5 Vol.
10%
23°C
$131 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$58 Vol.
36%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$5 Vol.
5%
30°C
$153 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and widespread cloud cover with rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–27°C for August 27.** High humidity (often 80–94%) and frequent precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds (typically 3–8 mph) offer little additional mixing. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum of 27°C, with other models and station data clustering between 26–28°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers.
Recent observations show overnight lows fluctuating in this narrow band amid above-normal humidity and scattered rainfall, creating tight uncertainty between the leading market outcomes. Traders weigh the balance of continued cloudiness versus any brief clear spells that could allow a dip toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and the next official IMD briefing will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$362End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and widespread cloud cover with rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–27°C for August 27.** High humidity (often 80–94%) and frequent precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds (typically 3–8 mph) offer little additional mixing. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum of 27°C, with other models and station data clustering between 26–28°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers.
Recent observations show overnight lows fluctuating in this narrow band amid above-normal humidity and scattered rainfall, creating tight uncertainty between the leading market outcomes. Traders weigh the balance of continued cloudiness versus any brief clear spells that could allow a dip toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and the next official IMD briefing will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$362End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and widespread cloud cover with rain or thundershowers, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–27°C for August 27.** High humidity (often 80–94%) and frequent precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light variable winds (typically 3–8 mph) offer little additional mixing. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum of 27°C, with other models and station data clustering between 26–28°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers. Recent observations show overnight lows fluctuating in this narrow band amid above-normal humidity and scattered rainfall, creating tight uncertainty between the leading market outcomes. Traders weigh the balance of continued cloudiness versus any brief clear spells that could allow a dip toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and the next official IMD briefing will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions