Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
27°C 38%
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
23%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
31%
27°C 38%
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$30 Vol.
23%
23°C
$208 Vol.
10%
24°C
$40 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$293End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh have kept overnight lows elevated near 27°C through enhanced cloud cover and humidity that limit radiative cooling. Official IMD forecasts and model guidance for August 29 point to partly cloudy skies transitioning toward clearer conditions with isolated showers, which could permit modest nighttime temperature drops into the mid-20s if convection weakens as expected. High dew points near 26–28°C and light winds further constrain cooling rates, while urban heat retention in Lucknow adds a small upward bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because small variations in evening cloud cover or rainfall timing—key resolution factors—could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, with fresher model runs and local observations due shortly to refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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