Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high cloud cover typical of the late rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from sources like NOAA-influenced guidance and local stations shows limited radiative cooling under overcast skies, with rain timing and wind patterns as key variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages cluster around 12°C, but trader spreads across nearby bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential cold-air drainage in valleys, or brief clear spells allowing greater cooling. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
7°C or below 59%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
59%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
48%
17°C or higher
47%
7°C or below 59%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high cloud cover typical of the late rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from sources like NOAA-influenced guidance and local stations shows limited radiative cooling under overcast skies, with rain timing and wind patterns as key variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages cluster around 12°C, but trader spreads across nearby bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential cold-air drainage in valleys, or brief clear spells allowing greater cooling. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high cloud cover typical of the late rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from sources like NOAA-influenced guidance and local stations shows limited radiative cooling under overcast skies, with rain timing and wind patterns as key variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages cluster around 12°C, but trader spreads across nearby bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential cold-air drainage in valleys, or brief clear spells allowing greater cooling. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high cloud cover typical of the late rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from sources like NOAA-influenced guidance and local stations shows limited radiative cooling under overcast skies, with rain timing and wind patterns as key variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages cluster around 12°C, but trader spreads across nearby bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima, potential cold-air drainage in valleys, or brief clear spells allowing greater cooling. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions